My Top 19 predictions for 2006. Mark off a few points if you will for my belated attempts but I had to follow an incredibly thought out, accurate, data intensive methodology that took me weeks to process and an hour to write down. Here ya go:
1. New podcast networks will flower like tulips in the spring. Most will just make it through one bloom.
2. I'll go fishing on the Sandy River. Podcasts, especially in music, will be the hot ticket as more people realize that you can listen to a show any time, any where you wish. That includes on the river... which helps if you are fishing below an underpass.
3. Spring will come and the video blogger boom will rumble like thunder.
4. Current.tv will fail as the network looks the other way, deciding not to embrace video blogging.
5. Hijack! Increased instances of feed jacking will shine more light on the practice of redirecting RSS feeds to third party hosts.
6. I'll move for something like the 25th time in the past five years. This time I'll write about it on a paper napkin.
7. Adam Curry will continue to listen to his father's advice and try not to pave the goat path. Eric Rice will move again in Second Life. He'll podcast from the reality world. Chris Pirillo will interview the one red paper clip guy who ends up trading his fleet of Scions for a 20,000 square foot mansion just outside of a well known war zone. Dave Winer will make another few $.
8. I'll be cursed by at least one person for my last prediction, furious yet again they were not invited to the party, mentioned in wikipedia or asked to play a character in a podcast.
9. I'll continue to thrash myself for paying up the big bucks but wireless at Starbucks will be crucial for me to keep connected. I'll continually seek out a penniless connection, hoping that by December, North America will become a free wifi utopia.
10. More people will discover OPML as they finally get that it can serve as a galaxy for millions of feeds. All you need is a magic bike to get there.
11. Web 2.0 will be known as aw2. That means alex williams squared. It's the square root of my life since discovering RSS almost three years ago, about the time lichen started growing on the web after the dot com boom's volcanic eruption in 2000. ;-)
12. Fee, fly, flow becomes a new expression. It comes from a hip hop song about RSS.
13. The FBI will discover a Cosa Nostra podcast and use it as evidence in a reality television show.
14. George Bush will lose his iPod and the NSA will try to stop the media from telling the story.
15. Conferences will continue to draw micro camps that will serve as sorts of satellite networks. A few smart producers will get it and network these camps for an extended event that balances the commercialness of traditional trade shows.
16. The podcast hardware business will grow and become a catalyst for fresh innovation in consumer electronics.
17. Better software tools for podcasting on mobile phones will help at least one company get a healthy round of venture funding.
18. Podcasts of World Cup Soccer games will garner some of the best audiences ever for a recorded sporting event.
19. I'll play indoor soccer at least once a week for Los Jugaderos. Focus is on the game. Someone else will have to do the play-by-play.